• BVRLA lease fleet grows 8% year-on-year to 1,983,814 cars and va
  • Car fleet up 12.5% year-on-year; van fleet down -4.2%
  • BCH car fleet up 7.9% year-on-year; salsac up 123.4% YOY; PCH down -3.7% YOY

LEASING is set to start 2026 with a positive outlook, despite wider industry trends, says the first BVRLA Leasing Outlook, with brokers leading the way.

BCH and salary sacrifice, the engines of fleet growth

The BVRLA car lease fleet has broken the 1.5 million vehicle barrier for the first time in seven years. The report remarks that while the national economy is subdued which is holding back retail confidence, employers are taking advantage of the current cut-throat car pricing for their own fleets and staff salary sacrifice schemes. This year will see even more lower-priced EVs enter the market and ‘several; executives’ have pointed to more lower-rate taxpayers in their salsac schemes.

PCH will have its day

On PCH the message is to ignore the figures showing it’s in consistent decline (down 3.7% here): the reality looks better, although it’s never going to beat salsac for growth.

Certainly, this was a story we heard time and again in 2025 from brokers enjoying a boom in PCH helped by aggressively priced ‘commit to purchase’ tactical deals between OEMs, brokers and leasing companies.

Earlier this month Gareth Roberts, Strategy Director at Central Contracts, said: “The sector is in a strong position. Any concerns about destabilisation and the impact on residual values or leasing rentals are offset by the need for OEMs to sell cars, especially new entrants from China.”

Expect the BVLRA to re-adjust its fleet size data this year as it captures data from some ‘major captive finance operations’ by OEMs. In an earlier report it believed that the broker fleet could be 20 to 25% bigger than showing now.

Used vehicle leasing

Surveying the used leasing landscape, the Outlook says that strong

confidence in EV reliability and battery health means leasing firms are now supplying used EVs that they will not remarket until they are seven or even eight years old. The skill will be to arrive at a rental sufficiently cheaper than some of the new car offers available.

Even more pressure on costs

Not that 2026 is likely to be plain sailing, the report says. There will ‘intense pressure’ for leasing companies to lower costs and it already sees customers asking for new policies stretching to five-year leases for cars and seven-year leases for vans.

Further ahead there is ‘almost universal bafflement’ on the proposed eVED mileage tax in 2028. ‘Why offer the Electric Car Grant to incentivise EV uptake, only to introduce a policy that is likely to weaken demand?’

“Our industry is agile, resilient, and innovative, but it needs to work in partnership with the Government. The faltering used EV market and the badly designed and poorly timed eVED regime proposals are two prime examples where we need an urgent policy rethink.”

The full report can be read on the BVRLA website

Show CommentsClose Comments

Leave a comment